Executive Speechwriting: Corporate, Weddings, Retirement

Sunday, December 2, 2007

Barack Obama is Winning as Hillary Clinton Leads the Polls

Barack Obama is fighting a losing battle for 2008, and a winning battle for 2012. Hillary Clinton is en route to winning by a massive margin the Democratic nomination, but her viability in the national election is dire. If she does not win the White House, and few of the more objective analysts (like myself, of course), Barack Obama has both the nomination and the presidency in 2012.

Presently, Hillary is enjoying a gender novelty matter. Take away gender, which will not be an issue by 2012 either way, and things get much closer.

Meanwhile, Obama, safely serving again as an Illinois senator (something Illinoisans are not sure he's doing well), he'll remain high in the national eye, raising money, and paying his dues.

Poll Averages - Democrats


@bdul muHib said...

Check the latest polls- he's climbing rapidly nationally, and within the statistical margin of error, now beating Hillary in Iowa, and coming close in S. Carolina. Even some pundits now saying that, if Hillary doesn't win New Hampshire, she's out. Which makes sense (as she's unlikely to win Iowa they think), but what is significant is now people are talking about Make It or Break It States for Hillary, something unthinkable even a month ago.

Resilient Hawk said...

I think Obama can run with low risk. He can't lose, no matter how 2008 turns out. This affords him long-term strategy opportunities that Hillary does not have. He'll be as exciting, for better or for worse, in 2012. Hillary, however, will have lost the novelty of gender in 2012, and so must work this election as if it were her only shot. It isn't her only shot, but it is her best shot.

tadly said...

R U NUTZ! Hillary has no chance, Her campaign is, implodding from the idiots that she hand selected to surround herself with.
The fact that Jimmy Hoffa came out against her anti union relationship through Mark Penn,
She looked haggard and run hard in the Iowa Debate today. And the Hillary campaign in panic mode!

Former president Bill Clinton says he is preparing to reduce or curtail his business relationship with Los Angeles billionaire Ron Burkle's investment firm if his wife, Hillary Rodham Clinton, wins the Democratic presidential nomination.
AND CNN polling director Keating Holland said Clinton had lost a surprising amount of support from women but could rebound.
To sway women voters, Clinton has begun campaigning with her daughter, Chelsea, and mother, Dorothy Rodham.

Resilient Hawk said...

Something tells me, Tadly, that Hillary was never an option for you to start with. ;)

Not liking her, not trusting her is one thing. Presuming her loss, though, is forgetting how complex politics amd media coverage are. John Kerry's supporters forgot this and lost the most winnable election since Carter won.

You are over-estimating the matter, however. Obama's interest is growing, but this does not mean she has lost. Whether she wins or not is too soon to say.

Hillary's smart to sway women voters. Good thinking to bring along her daughter and mom. All generations then are hit with a message. Watch all the candidates do the same thing if they can.